Environmental Impact Analysis of Fleet and Policy Options of Aircraft Operators using System Dynamics

摘要

This paper proposes a novel approach to modeling the choices of aircraft operators in response to policies that have recently been proposed. The need for a comprehensive system level model involving numerous feedback loops is enabled by using a System Dynamics modeling approach. This will allow decision makers to move away from fixed long term forecast scenarios that are currently being used for environmental policy making and instead rely on a dynamic model that enables the evaluation of how aircraft operators might respond to proposed policies and the trade-offs between demand and efficiency improvements under constrained policy scenarios.