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Chaotic Population Dynamics and the Evolution of Aging: Proposing a Demographic Theory of Senescence

机译:混沌人口动态与衰老的演变:提出衰老的人口统计学理论

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According to accepted evolutionary theories, aging has evolved as a side-effect of strong selection pressure for early fertility, despite the fact that it has no adaptive value of its own. I have argued elsewhere that recent experimental results make these theories untenable, and that there is now a broad array of evidence indicating that aging has evolved as an adaptation, selected for its own sake. To explain nature's preference for aging is a substantial theoretical challenge. The classical Weismann hypothesis, "making room for the young," fails because the benefit to the population accrues in the form of enhancement to the rate of increase of population average fitness, while the cost affects individual fitness directly and efficiently. In multi-level selection models, the aging genes are lost before their benefit can accumulate. I propose here that aging has evolved based on a different benefit: its contribution to demographic homeostasis. I argue that population dynamics are inherently chaotic, and that the stable ecosystems that we commonly observe in nature are a highly evolved phenomenon. Natural selection for population homeostasis is far more efficient than selection for rate of evolution because chaotic population dynamics can be lethal on a time scale of just a few generations, while enhanced rate of evolution takes far longer to affect population mean fitness. My thesis is that aging can evolve based on its ability to damp population fluctuations. For illustration, I offer an individual-based computational model that reproduces chaotic population dynamics with a delayed-feedback logistic equation. Genes for aging emerge handily.
机译:根据公认的进化论,尽管衰老本身没有适应性价值,但衰老已演变成对早期生育的强大选择压力的副作用。我在其他地方争论过,最近的实验结果使这些理论站不住脚,并且现在有大量证据表明衰老已经进化为适应,是出于自身的原因选择的。解释自然界对衰老的偏爱是一个重大的理论挑战。经典的魏斯曼假设“为年轻人腾出空间”之所以失败,是因为对人口的好处是以增加人口平均适应率的形式获得的,而成本则直接有效地影响着个体适应性。在多级选择模型中,衰老基因在其收益得以积累之前就已经丢失。我在这里提出,衰老是基于另一种好处而演变的:它对人口动态平衡的贡献。我认为人口动态本质上是混乱的,我们通常在自然界中观察到的稳定的生态系统是高度进化的现象。人口稳态的自然选择远比进化速度的选择有效,因为混沌的人口动态变化可能在几代的时间尺度上就具有致命性,而进化速度的提高则需要更长的时间才能影响人口的平均适应度。我的观点是,衰老可以基于其抑制人口波动的能力而发展。为了说明,我提供了一个基于个体的计算模型,该模型使用延迟反馈逻辑方程来再现混沌种群动态。衰老基因容易出现。

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