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Using reversible jump MCMC for cognitive diagnostic model selection

机译:使用可逆跳MCMC进行认知诊断模型选择

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摘要

Cognitive diagnostic assessment (CDA) is an effective data mining approach in education. It aims to discover diagnostic information about students' cognitive strengths and weaknesses. A large number of CDA statistical models are developed and based on different assumptions about how attributes or combinations of attributes influence item response. However, the relationship between attributes and item response is unknown in reality. This challenges the researcher to make a conscious thought on the mechanism of item response and model selection before data analysis. This article introduced the reversible jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) method for the determination of three conjunctive diagnostic models that based on different assumptions in order to achieve better model-data fit and higher correct classification rate. Firstly, three conjunctive cognitive diagnostic models were described briefly. Secondly, the algorithm of RJMCMC for automatic model selection was established. Finally, a simulation study and an analysis of real data were presented to verify the algorithm. The simulation and the real data analysis results demonstrated that the model selection algorithm of RJMCMC can work well among three models.
机译:认知诊断评估(CDA)是一种有效的教育数据挖掘方法。它旨在发现有关学生认知优势和劣势的诊断信息。开发了许多CDA统计模型,并基于关于属性或属性组合如何影响项目响应的不同假设。但是,属性和项目响应之间的关系实际上是未知的。这挑战了研究人员在数据分析之前对项目响应和模型选择的机制进行有意识的思考。本文介绍了可逆跳马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(RJMCMC)方法,该方法用于确定三种基于不同假设的联合诊断模型,以实现更好的模型数据拟合和更高的正确分类率。首先,简要描述了三种联合认知诊断模型。其次,建立了RJMCMC自动选型算法。最后,进行了仿真研究和对真实数据的分析,以验证该算法。仿真和实际数据分析结果表明,RJMCMC的模型选择算法可以在三种模型之间很好地工作。

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