PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT IN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS BY FUZZY NUMBERS

摘要

Probabilistic safety assessment in nuclear power plants (NPPs) greatly considers plant safety and optimal plant design. Plant specific data are usually recommended to analyze safety in NPPs. However, such NPP specific data are not always available in practice. This paper presents an approach by combining fuzzy numbers and expert justification to assess an NPP probabilistic failure rate in the absence of statistical data. The proposed approach illustrates a case study for high pressure core spray systems of boiling water reactors.