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Tropical Cyclone Marine Surface Wind Modeling The Shape of the Radial Wind Profile Matters

机译:热带气旋海洋表面风建模径向风廓线的形状

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Methods of analysis and modeling of the distribution of surface winds about tropical cyclones have increasingly recognized the deficiency of the classical representation of the radial distribution of (e.g. 'Rankine vortex', 'Holland profile') of a linear increase of wind speed from the center to a single and tight radius of maximum and a sharp decay to the ambient flow. Newer analysis schemes and parametric and dynamical models now attempt to allow for more complex radial distributions including the possibility of multiple radial wind maxima and storms with indistinct radial maxima and shelf-like profiles extending far into the ambient flow. This paper demonstrates the rather high degree of skill with which a representation of the radial pressure profile with a double exponential form within the initialization scheme of the widely applied 'TC96' steady state planetary boundary model (PBL) succeeds in modeling such wind field complexities as well as the large range of wind field spatial scales associated with have come to be known as 'compact', 'incompact' and 'annular' cyclones, and in representing the life cycle of storms that undergo rapid dynamic transformation in wind structure associated with the eye-wall replacement cycle and transitory storm encounters with land masses. Examples are drawn from recent well monitored U.S. Gulf and East Coast historical hurricanes, but the characteristics demonstrated appear to apply to tropical cyclone worldwide.
机译:关于热带气旋的地表风分布的分析和建模方法,越来越多地认识到风速从中心线性增加的径向分布(例如“朗肯涡”,“荷兰剖面”)的径向分布的经典表示的缺陷。到最大的单个紧密半径,并且对环境流量急剧衰减。现在,较新的分析方案以及参数和动力学模型试图允许更复杂的径向分布,包括多个径向风最大值和风暴的可能性,其中径向最大值不明显,并且类似架子的轮廓延伸到环境流中。本文展示了相当高的技术水平,在广泛应用的“ TC96”稳态行星边界模型(PBL)的初始化方案中,用双指数形式表示径向压力曲线的方法成功地模拟了如下的风场复杂性:以及与之相关的大范围风场空间尺度被称为“紧凑”,“不紧凑”和“环形”旋风,并代表了与风速相关的风结构经历快速动态变化的风暴的生命周期。眼墙更换周期和短暂的暴风雨遇到土地块。例子来自最近受到良好监视的美国墨西哥湾和东海岸的历史飓风,但所显示的特征似乎适用于全球热带气旋。

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