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RESEARCH ON CLOSED-LOOP SAFETY PRODUCTION SYSTEM OF HOT OIL PIPELINE BASED ON BIG DATA MINING

机译:基于大数据挖掘的热油管道闭环安全生产系统研究

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The process of long-distance hot oil pipeline is complicated, and its safety and optimization are contradictory. In actual production and operation, the theoretical calculation model of oil temperature along the pipeline has some problems, such as large error and complex application. This research relies on actual production data and uses big data mining algorithms such as BP neural network, ARMA, seq2seq to establish oil temperature prediction model. The prediction result is less than 0.5 C, which solves the problem of accurate prediction of dynamic oil temperature during pipeline operation. Combined with pigging, the friction prediction model of standard pipeline section is established by BP neural network, and then the economic pigging period of 80 days is given; and after the friction database is established, the historical friction data are analyzed by using the Gauss formula, and 95% of the friction is set as the threshold data to effectively monitor the variation of the friction due to the long period of waxing in pipelines. The closed loop operation system of hot oil pipeline safety and optimization was formed to guide the daily process adjustment and production arrangement of pipeline with energy saving up to 92.4%. The prediction model and research results based on production big data have good adaptability and generalization, which lays a foundation for future intelligent control of pipelines.
机译:长距离输油管道的过程复杂,其安全性和优化性是矛盾的。在实际生产经营中,沿线油温理论计算模型存在误差大,应用复杂等问题。该研究依靠实际的生产数据,并采用BP神经网络,ARMA,seq2seq等大数据挖掘算法建立油温预测模型。预测结果小于0.5℃,解决了管道运行过程中动态油温准确预测的问题。结合清管,通过BP神经网络建立标准管道断面的摩擦力预测模型,给出80天的经济清管期。建立摩擦数据库后,利用高斯公式对历史摩擦数据进行分析,并以95%的摩擦为阈值数据,以有效监测管道长时间上蜡引起的摩擦变化。形成了热油管道安全与优化的闭环操作系统,指导管道的日常流程调整和生产安排,节能高达92.4%。基于生产大数据的预测模型和研究成果具有良好的适应性和通用性,为今后的管道智能控制奠定了基础。

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