Analyzing on the selecting behavior of mining cities' industrial transition based on the viewpoint of sustainable development: a perspective of evolutionary game

摘要

At present, the mining city is faced up with some serious problems, such as the singular essential production factor structure, its abnormal industrial structure, short industrial value chain, low added value, hermetical city industrial system, weakening ability to innovate.. To seek for sustainable development, the mining city has to make a key decision in the process of industry transition. Firstly, based on the perspective of evolutionary game, the paper has analyzed the state transcending equation which refers to the problem of whether the mining city needs to restructure its industry or not and its corresponding behaviour gaming under the different states of space set. So, the decision-making threshold on its industry transition has also been estimated from the former analysis. Secondly, two different industry transition types of mining cities are analyzed from the dynamic perspective through which the each equilibrium of those games' evolutionary strategies have also been deduced. One type is a substituting structure system in which the city withdraws entirely from the current resource-based industry and constitutes a whole new industry structure. The other type is upgrading the mining city's industrial structure through implementing technological transformation and industrial innovation. Lastly, the paper suggests some focused measures for the mining city on its future pattern of sustainable development on the basis of previous analyses.