首页> 外文会议>6th Congress of Italian Association for Artificial Intelligence Bologna, Italy, September 14-17, 1999 >Sensitivity analysis for threshold decision making with bayesian belief networks
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Sensitivity analysis for threshold decision making with bayesian belief networks

机译:贝叶斯信念网络的阈值决策敏感性分析

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The probability assessments of a Bayesian belief network generally include inaccuracies. These inaccuratcies influence the reliability of the network's ouput. an integral part of investigating the output's reliability is to study its robustness. Robustness pertains to the extent to which varying the probability assessments of the network influences the ouput. It is studied by subjecting the network to a senitivity analysis. In this paper, we address the issue of robustness of a belief network's output in view of the threshold model for decision amking. We present a method for sensitivity analysis that provides for the computation of bounds between which a network's assessments can be varied without inducing a change in recommended decision.
机译:贝叶斯信念网络的概率评估通常包括不准确性。这些不准确性会影响网络输出的可靠性。研究输出可靠性的一个组成部分是研究其鲁棒性。健壮性涉及网络的概率评估变化对输出的影响程度。通过对网络进行敏感度分析来研究它。在本文中,我们根据决策修正的阈值模型解决了置信网络输出的鲁棒性问题。我们提出了一种敏感性分析方法,该方法可以计算范围,在不影响推荐决策的情况下,可以改变网络的评估范围。

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