Development of a health education model

摘要

Changing demographics, patterns of funding, and demands of society present policy-makers with a severe challenge when allocating resources to higher education for both general education and for health services education. The full impacts of resource decisions may not be seen until one or more four-year educational cycles have been completed. Policy-makers require tools that will let them easily assess the impacts of a range of possible choices. We present preliminary work on both a Systems Dynamics model and a Markov model designed to do just that. The Markov model is a simple chain of transition probabilities, designed to validate the Systems Dynamics model over a linear range. The Systems Dynamics model presents a more friendly user interface, and is capable of dealing with recursive and non-linear effects of the system. This presentation will describe the structure of the Oregon state higher education system, and show how it is captured in the present model. Some preliminary results will be described.