Supply chain forecasting system

摘要

Systems and methods are described for supply chain vulnerability forecasting using external event data is described. The method may include identifying historic data from each entity of a plurality of entities connected in a supply chain, aggregating temporal-based information relating to the entities and to relations among the entities into one or more time periods based on the historic data, training a cognitive prediction model using the aggregated temporal-based information, generating a vulnerability score for each entity, generating a recommendation for at least one entity if the vulnerability score for the at least one entity is above a preset threshold, retraining the cognitive prediction model using changed data of the at least one entity, and adjusting the vulnerability score based on the retraining.