SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR MODELLING AND FORECASTING ELECTRICITY DEMAND

摘要

A technological solution for controlling generation or distribution of electric power in a power generation and distribution network. The solution includes modelling and forecasting electricity demand in the power generation and distribution network, which includes a plurality of nodes each having cooling appliances, heating appliances, or both cooling and heating appliances. The solution includes, among other things, building a per-capita parametric model of an electric demand curve for a geographic region, modelling residual intraday variations in electric demand, determining an average residual variation in demand, iteratively optimizing the residual intraday variations in demand and the average residual variation in demand, and determining electricity demand per-capita for the geographic region.