Procedure for determining faulty operation status probabilities of technical or biological systems using a single event probability with at most on one element operation

摘要

The procedure allows diagnostic expert systems to be generated which are used for calculating the probabilities of the possible causes from a predetermined set of symptoms in numerous applications, mainly in medicine and in engineering. In addition, there is the possibility of determining the probabilities of all events of a causal network and of specifying the probability that an event A is the cause of an event B. The objects set are achieved by applying the general interpolation theorem developed for this purpose, which allows a multiplicity of interpolation formulae for probabilities to be constructed in the form IMAGE . In addition, it is possible, by introducing plausible prerequisites and the consequential application of the so-called A.L theorem or, respectively, the A.L corollary, to dissect all probabilities in such a manner that only probabilities of single events having at the most a one-element condition are needed.