SYSTEM FOR EVALUATING PROFITABILITY OF MEDICAL DRUG CANDIDATE UNDER DEVELOPMENT

摘要

A system (10) for evaluating the profitability of a developed medicine has adata set creating subsystem (100) and a management index calculating subsystem(200). The data set creating subsystem includes a sales total predicting unit(110), an expense predicting unit (120), a net present value (NPV) calculatingsection (131), an internal rate-of-return (IRR) calculating unit (140), arepetitively calculating unit (150), for creating a data set in which thevalues calculated by the predicting units and calculating units are variedwithin a predetermined distribution width, and a data set recording unit(160). The management index calculating subsystem includes a volatilitycalculating unit (201), an option value calculating unit (202), and a projectvalue calculating unit (203). Thus, the system evaluates the investmentprofitability of the research and development of a medicine by using a realoption method.