A futures forecasting method employs an online Futures Forecasting Engine (FFE) which gathers forecasted trends and events data from invited participants, and rates, categorizes, and sorts the participants input to produce a study forecast. The method has four main stages: (1) Swarm stage which establishes the participants in a study; (2) Alpha/Beta stage which solicits forecasts of trends and events from participants and establishes which trends and events meet parameters to be utilized in the study; (3) Delphi stage which gathers participants' estimates of event probabilities and trend levels over time, and further gathers participants' revised estimates of rated event probabilities and trend levels; and (4) Output stage in which all desired statistics are calculated and a final report is prepared.
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