Techniques for estimating future health of a project are provided. The techniques include defining a set of financial health metrics that represent a proximity of a current state of a project to that of a goal project, defining a parametric evolution model comprising parameters, wherein the parametric evolution model governs a relationship between current data of the set of financial health metrics and current project health in relation to past data of the set of financial health metrics, determining a value of each of the parameters of the parametric evolution model using an optimization problem, and using the value of each of the parameters of the parametric evolution model and the current data of the set of financial health metrics and current project health in relation to past data of the set of financial health metrics to estimate the future health of the project.
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