Method for predicting pirate attack risk in a geographical area based on intel regarding pirates and pirate behavior coupled with METOC conditions

摘要

A method for predicting the risk of a pirate attack in a geographical area and for generating a distribution of probabilities of a pirate attack based on intelligence (INTEL) information regarding the pirates and pirate behavior combined with information regarding environmental and meteorological (METOC) conditions and information regarding shipping activity and shipping vulnerabilities. The method can also be used to predict the probability of other activities that are subject to METOC conditions, such as anti-narcotics efforts, undersea warfare operations, mine warfare operations, and human trafficking interdiction.