HIERARCHICAL MODELING OF PHYSICAL SYSTEMS AND THEIR UNCERTAINTIES

摘要

A hierarchical modeling tool or process is provided that represents the fill range of behavior of a hydrocarbon system, accurately including uncertainties and potential events affecting the system. The potential events may include actions taken and information learned. The hierarchical modeling tool may be embedded within a decision support system or used in a stand-alone fashion. Disclosed aspects may link from accurate (high-detail) physics models to an accurate uncertainty representation, and then reduce the accurate uncertainty representation to a high-speed representation of both the physics model and the uncertainty that can be used in an optimizer.