HIERARCHICAL MODELING OF PHYSICAL SYSTEMS AND THEIR UNCERTAINTIES

摘要

A hierarchical modeling tool or process is provided that represents the fullrange of behavior of a hydrocarbon system,accurately including uncertainties and potential events affecting the system.The potential events may include actions takenand information learned. The hierarchical modeling tool may be embedded withina decision support system or used in astand-alone fashion. Disclosed aspects may link from accurate (high-detail)physics models to an accurate uncertainty representation,and then reduce the accurate uncertainty representation to a high-speedrepresentation of both the physics model and theuncertainty that can be used in an optimizer.