CHANGE PATTERN PREDICTION DEVICE FOR POWER CONSUMPTION, CHANGE PATTERN PREDICTION PROGRAM FOR POWER CONSUMPTION

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To predict a change pattern of domestic power consumption as accurately as possible.SOLUTION: In a change pattern prediction device for power consumption, regarding daily data stored in a storage part, a correction candidate data extraction part (36) determines a correction target period by defining a time in which power consumption increases and a room temperature changes as a starting point and defining a time in which power consumption decreases and the room temperature changes as an ending point, and stores data during the correction target period in the storage part as correction candidate data. A forecasted atmospheric temperature acquisition part (40) acquires a forecasted atmospheric temperature on a prediction target day. A correction data determination part (37) determines correction candidate data on a day of an atmospheric temperature closest to the forecasted atmospheric temperature, among the correction candidate data stored in the storage part, as correction data. A prediction pattern setting part (41) sets a change pattern of power consumption on the prediction target day by exchanging the data during the correction target period of a pre-correction prediction value with the correction data.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1