Detecting network conditions based on derivatives of event trending

摘要

Embodiments relate systems and methods for detecting network conditions based on derivatives of event trending. In embodiments, a network management server can monitor the status and operation of network machines, such as servers or targets, as well as network transmission hardware (e.g. routers). Streams of network operation data from those sources can be captured and stored. The management server or other logic can examine the network operation data to identify trend lines for network conditions, such as application faults, attempted intrusions, or other events or conditions. trend line data can be treated to generate second or other higher-order derivatives, such as third-order derivatives representing the rate of change of acceleration (or jerk) in the time series of one or more conditions. The presence of acceleration or jerk for one or more trend lines, such as attempted network intrusions, can reflect an event and trigger a flag or other automated response.