Real-Time Mid-Term Prediction Method Of Sea-Ice Information In Arctic Sea Route

摘要

Disclosed is a method for predicting mid-term ice shelf information in the North Pole route. The method for predicting mid-term ice shelf information in the North Pole route comprises the steps of: predicting short-term ice shelf information in the North Pole route with respect to a target day on the basis of a plurality of the numerical prediction models and satellite observation materials; analyzing correlation between ice-shelf information of the North Pole route previously stored before predetermined several months inversely operated based on the target day or during the target day and ice-shelf information of the North Pole route previously stored during plural years; and predicting mid-term ice-shelf information of the North Pole route in real time on the basis of ice-shelf information of a selected year if any one year that the correlation satisfies predetermined conditions is selected, the short-term ice-shelf information predicted based on the target day, and marine weather prediction information by seas. Therefore, the method for predicting mid-term ice shelf information in the North Pole route can help make and perform a plan for safe North Pole route by predicting mid-term ice-shelf information of the North Pole route of high resolution in real time.