Described herein is an apparatus that includes an estimation module that estimates a probability of an ice crystal icing engine event based on infrared satellite data, numerical weather prediction data, and empirical data corresponding with at least one actual ice crystal icing engine event. The apparatus also includes a data product module that generates a data product that indicates the estimation of the probability of an ice crystal icing engine event. Additionally, the apparatus includes an output module that communicates the data product to a recipient.
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