Provided herein are methods for assessing a disease score of a subject suffering from or suspected to be suffering from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or associated disease mechanisms, wherein the disease score represents COPD activity. The disease score can be used to stratify the subject into a specific risk category and can further inform patient management decisions. The methods can involve determining a biomarker signature including four or more biomarkers associated with COPD or COPD mechanisms. The methods can further include supplementing the biomarker combinations with calculation or classification trees based on one or more additional clinical parameters or biomarkers. In some cases, the methods include timing of collection of patient samples with respect to acute event or treatment course.
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