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Systems And Methods For Forecasting Time Series With Variable Seasonality

机译:季节性可变的时间序列预测系统和方法

摘要

Techniques for training and evaluating seasonal forecasting models are disclosed. In some embodiments, a network service generates, in memory, a set of data structures that separate sample values by season type and season space. The set of data structures may include a first set of clusters corresponding to different season types in the first season space and a second set of clusters corresponding to different season types in the second season space. The network service merges two or more clusters the first set and/or second set of clusters. Clusters from the first set are not merged with clusters from the second set. After merging the clusters, the network serves determines a trend pattern for each of the remaining clusters in the first and second set of clusters. The network service then generates a forecast for a metric of a computing resource based on the trend patterns for each remaining cluster.
机译:公开了用于训练和评估季节预报模型的技术。在一些实施例中,网络服务在存储器中生成一组数据结构,该数据结构按季节类型和季节空间将样本值分开。数据结构的集合可以包括与第一季节空间中的不同季节类型相对应的第一集群集合和与第二季节空间中的不同季节类型相对应的第二集群集合。网络服务将两个或多个群集合并为第一组群集和/或第二组群集。第一组中的群集不会与第二组中的群集合并。合并群集后,网络服务为第一组和第二组群集中的每个其余群集确定趋势模式。然后,网络服务根据每个剩余群集的趋势模式为计算资源的度量生成预测。

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