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US Corporate Bond Yield Spread: A default risk debate

机译:美国公司债券收益率差价:违约风险辩论

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摘要

According to theoretical models of valuing risky corporate securities, risk of default is primary component in overall yield spread. However, sizable empirical literature considers it otherwise by giving more importance to non-default risk factors. Current study empirically attempts to provide relative solution to this conundrum by presuming that problem lies in the subjective empirical treatment of default risk. By using post-hoc estimator approach of Lubotsky & Wittenberg (2006), we construct an efficient indicator for risk of default, by using sample of 252 US non-financial corporate data (2000-2010). On average, our results validate that almost 48% of change in yield spread is explained by default risk especially in recent financial crisis period (2007-2009). Hence, our results relatively suggest that potential problem lies in the ad-hoc measurement methods used in existing empirical literature
机译:根据评估风险公司证券的理论模型,违约风险是整体收益率利差的主要组成部分。但是,大量的经验文献通过更加重视非违约风险因素来对此进行考虑。当前的研究通过假设问题在于对违约风险的主观经验处理,试图从经验上为这一难题提供相对的解决方案。通过使用Lubotsky&Wittenberg(2006)的事后估计方法,我们使用252个美国非金融公司数据(2000-2010)样本构建了违约风险的有效指标。平均而言,我们的结果证实,特别是在最近的金融危机时期(2007-2009年),违约风险可以解释收益率差值变化的近48%。因此,我们的结果相对表明,潜在的问题在于现有经验文献中使用的即席测量方法

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