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Quantifying the intra-regional precipitation variability in northwestern China over the past 1,400 years

机译:量化了中国西北地区1400多年来的区域内降水变率

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摘要

There has been a surge of paleo-climatic/environmental studies of Northwestern China (NW China), a region characterized by a diverse assortment of hydro-climatic systems. Their common approach, however, focuses on "deducing regional resemblance" rather than "exploring regional variance." To date, efforts to produce a quantitative assessment of long-term intra-regional precipitation variability (IRPV) in NW China has been inadequate. In the present study, we base on historical flood/drought records to compile a decadal IRPV index for NW China spanned AD580-1979 and to find its major determinants via wavelet analysis. Results show that our IRPV index captures the footprints of internal hydro-climatic disparity in NW China. In addition, we find distinct similar to 120-200 year periodicities in the IRPV index over the Little Ice Age, which are attributable to the change of hydro-climatic influence of ocean-atmospheric modes during the period. Also, we offer statistical evidence of El Nino Southern Oscillation (Indo-Pacific warm pool sea surface temperature and China-wide land surface temperature) as the prominent multi-decadal to centennial (centennial to multi-centennial) determinant of the IRPV in NW China. The present study contributes to the quantitative validation of the long-term IRPV in NW China and its driving forces, covering the periods with and without instrumental records. It may help to comprehend the complex hydro-climatic regimes in the region.
机译:中国西北地区(中国西北地区)的古气候/环境研究激增,该地区的水文气候系统种类繁多。但是,他们的共同方法侧重于“推导区域相似性”而不是“探索区域差异”。迄今为止,在西北地区对长期区域内降水变化(IRPV)进行定量评估的努力还不够。在本研究中,我们基于历史洪水/干旱记录,编制了AD580-1979年中国西北地区的十年IRPV指数,并通过小波分析找到了其主要决定因素。结果表明,我们的IRPV指数记录了中国西北地区内部水文气候差异的足迹。此外,我们发现小冰河时期IRPV指数的周期类似于120-200年,这归因于该时期海洋-大气模式的水气候影响的变化。此外,我们提供了厄尔尼诺南方涛动(印度太平洋太平洋暖池海面温度和整个中国陆地表面温度)的统计证据,这是中国西北地区IRPV的重要年代际至十年年代(百年至百年)。 。本研究为中国西北地区长期IRPV及其驱动力的定量验证做出了贡献,涵盖了有仪器记录和无仪器记录的时期。这可能有助于理解该地区复杂的水文气候制度。

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