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Interconnectedness in the global financial market

机译:全球金融市场的互联互通

摘要

The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events. This paper analyzes the dependencies among nearly 4,000 stocks from 15 countries. The returns are normalized by the estimated volatility using a GARCH model and a robust regression process estimates pairwise statistical relationships between stocks from different markets. The estimation results are used as a measure of statistical interconnectedness, and to derive network representations, both by country and by sector. The results show that countries like the United States and Germany are in the core of the global stock market. The energy, materials, and financial sectors play an important role in connecting markets, and this role has increased over time for the energy and materials sectors. Our results confirm the role of global sectoral factors in stock market dependence. Moreover, our results show that the dependencies are rather volatile and that heterogeneity among stocks is a non-negligible aspect of this volatility.
机译:全球金融体系非常复杂,具有跨境互连和相互依存关系。在这种高度关联的环境中,可以轻松地放大当地的金融冲击和事件并将其转变为全球事件。本文分析了来自15个国家的近4,000只股票之间的依存关系。收益通过使用GARCH模型的估计波动率进行归一化,强大的回归过程估算来自不同市场的股票之间的成对统计关系。估计结果用作统计互连性的度量,并用于按国家和部门来得出网络表示形式。结果表明,美国和德国等国家处于全球股票市场的核心。能源,材料和金融部门在连接市场方面发挥着重要作用,并且随着时间的流逝,能源和材料部门的作用日益增强。我们的结果证实了全球部门因素在股票市场依赖中的作用。此外,我们的结果表明,依赖性非常不稳定,股票之间的异质性是这种波动性不可忽视的方面。

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