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Estimating quantile families of loss distributions for non-life insurance modelling via L-moments

机译:通过L矩估计非寿险建模的损失分布的分位数族

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摘要

This paper discusses different classes of loss models in non-life insurance settings. It then overviews the class of Tukey transform loss models that have not yet been widely considered in non-life insurance modelling, but offer opportunities to produce flexible skewness and kurtosis features often required in loss modelling. In addition, these loss models admit explicit quantile specifications which make them directly relevant for quantile based risk measure calculations. We detail various parameterisations and sub-families of the Tukey transform based models, such as the g-and-h, g-and-k and g-and-j models, including their properties of relevance to loss modelling. One of the challenges that are amenable to practitioners when fitting such models is to perform robust estimation of the model parameters. In this paper we develop a novel, efficient, and robust procedure for estimating the parameters of this family of Tukey transform models, based on L-moments. It is shown to be more efficient than the current state of the art estimation methods for such families of loss models while being simple to implement for practical purposes.
机译:本文讨论了非寿险设置中不同类别的损失模型。然后概述了在非人寿保险模型中尚未广泛考虑的Tukey变换损失模型的类别,但是提供了产生通常在损失模型中所需的灵活偏斜度和峰度特征的机会。此外,这些损失模型接受明确的分位数规范,这使其直接与基于分位数的风险度量计算相关。我们详细介绍了基于Tukey变换的模型的各种参数化和子族,例如g-and-h,g-and-k和g-and-j模型,包括它们与损失建模相关的属性。从业人员在拟合这样的模型时所面临的挑战之一是对模型参数进行可靠的估计。在本文中,我们基于L矩,开发了一种新颖,高效且健壮的过程来估计该Tukey变换模型族的参数。对于此类损失模型系列,它显示出比当前最新水平的估计方法更有效的方法,并且易于实现。

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