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Dynamics of Manufacturing Competitiveness in South Asia: Analysis through Export Data

机译:南亚制造业竞争力动态:出口数据分析

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摘要

The outstanding export performance of South Asian countries (India in particular) over the 1990s has prompted some observers to see in it the roots of an export-led growth similar to that of its Southeast Asian neighbors. We employ export unit values (UVs) cum real competitiveness analysis to the manufacturing sector of four South Asian countries (with particular focus on India), in order to investigate the determinants of this apparent success. Shifts toward higher UVs relative to technology leaders serve as the most appropriate indication of underlying structural changes, and such change is manifested in technology closing-up processes among countries. According to our indices, the export competitiveness of South Asian countries (except Pakistan) seems to have slightly improved relative to its Southeast Asian comparators, but not relative to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. South Asian export growth has been mainly driven by relative quantity expansion through a reduction in relative costs rather than relative quality improvement. Such expansion has been concentrated in naturalresource-intensive, standard technology-intensive (in India), and labor-intensive sectors (in Bangladesh). On the other hand, the more technology-intensive sectors in India still suffer from a significant gap relative to Thailand that has not been closing up in the last decade. These findings suggest some notes of caution in interpreting the recent good export performance of South Asian economies.
机译:1990年代南亚国家(尤其是印度)的出色出口表现促使一些观察家从中看到了与东南亚邻国相似的出口拉动型增长的根源。我们对四个南亚国家(特别是印度)的制造业进行出口单位价值(UVs)以及实际竞争力分析,以调查这一明显成功的决定因素。相对于技术领先者而言,向更高紫外线水平的转变是潜在的结构变化的最适当指示,这种变化体现在国家之间的技术关闭过程中。根据我们的指数,相对于东南亚的同类国家,南亚国家(巴基斯坦除外)的出口竞争力似乎有所提高,但相对于经济合作与发展组织而言却没有。南亚出口增长的主要动力是通过相对成本的减少而不是相对质量的提高来实现相对数量的增长。这种扩张主要集中在自然资源密集型,标准技术密集型(印度)和劳动密集型部门(孟加拉国)。另一方面,与泰国相比,印度的技术密集型行业仍然存在巨大的缺口,而泰国在过去十年中一直没有关闭。这些发现表明,在解释南亚经济体近期良好的出口表现时,需要谨慎行事。

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