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Rotten parents and disciplined children: A politico-economic theory of public expenditure and debt

机译:腐烂的父母和纪律严明的儿童:公共支出和债务的政治经济学理论

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摘要

This paper proposes a dynamic politico-economic theory of debt, government finance and expenditure. Agents have preferences over a private and government-provided public good, financed through labour taxation. Subsequent generations of voters choose taxation, government expenditure and debt accumulation through repeated elections. Debt introduces a conflict of interest between young and old voters: the young want more fiscal discipline as they are concerned with the ability to of future governments to provide public goods. We characterize the Markov Perfect Equilibrium of the dynamic voting game. If taxes do not distort labour supply, the economy progressively depletes its resources through debt accumulation, leaving future genereations enslaved. However, if tax distortions are sufficiently large, the economy converges to a stationary debt level which is bounded away from the endogenous debt limit. We extend the analysis to redistributive policies and political shocks. Consistent with the empirical evidence, our theory predicts governement debt to be mean reverting and debt growth to be larger under right-wing than under left-wing governments.
机译:本文提出了一种关于债务,政府财政和支出的动态政治经济理论。代理人偏爱通过劳动税筹集资金的私人和政府提供的公共物品。后代选民通过反复选举来选择税收,政府支出和债务积累。债务在年轻选民和老选民之间引发了利益冲突:年轻人希望更多的财政纪律,因为他们担心未来政府提供公共物品的能力。我们刻画了动态投票游戏的马尔可夫完美均衡。如果税收不扭曲劳动力供给,经济将通过债务积累逐步消耗其资源,从而使未来的种姓受到奴役。但是,如果税收扭曲足够大,则经济会收敛到固定债务水平,该水平将超出内生债务上限。我们将分析扩展到重新分配政策和政治冲击。与经验证据一致,我们的理论预测政府债务在右翼下的平均归还率和债务增长将比左翼政府大。

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