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Campaign mailers can affect voter attitudes, but the effects are strongest early in the campaign and fade rapidly

机译:竞选邮件可以影响选民的态度,但这种影响在竞选初期最为明显,并且会迅速消失

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摘要

Over the next two months, in the lead up to the Congressional midterm elections, households will be bombarded with campaign publicity including mailers, which will aim to convince them to vote for one candidate over another. But are such mailers an effective campaign tactic? In new research that uses data from the 2012 elections, David Doherty and E. Scott Adler find that if sent out in the months prior to election, both positive and negative campaign mailers can be effective in increasing candidate recognition, and voter turnout. They also find that mailers sent closer to the election have little effect on voters’ attention and intention, likely because interested voters will have already found out about candidates by this point.
机译:在接下来的两个月中,将在国会中期选举之前,对家庭进行轰炸,其中包括邮件的宣传,目的是说服他们投票选举一位候选人胜过另一位候选人。但是这样的邮递员是有效的竞选策略吗? David Doherty和E.Scott Adler在一项使用2012年选举数据的最新研究中发现,如果在选举前的几个月内寄出,正面和负面的竞选邮寄者都可以有效地提高候选人的知名度和投票率。他们还发现,送往选举较近的邮件对选民的注意力和意图影响不大,这可能是因为到此为止,有兴趣的选民已经找到了候选人。

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