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Crisis in Baluchistan a historical analysis of the Baluch Nationalist Movement in Pakistan

机译:Bal路支省的危机对巴基斯坦the路支民族主义运动的历史分析

摘要

Since January 2005 Pakistan's Baluchistan province has been embroiled in a rash of violence that threatens to deteriorate into civil war. Is this recent violence yet another recurrence of state-periphery tensions, or is it a qualitatively new phenomenon which threatens U.S. and Pakistan interests in the region? This thesis analyzes the historical causes of Baluch political violence in order to determine why Baluchistan is again enmeshed in bloody conflict. Violence in Baluchistan historically has been the product of several factors: a fiercely independent Baluch people that eschew outside interference; the lasting legacy of British policy; mismanagement by ruling Pakistani regimes; and historical grievances that have allowed Baluch leaders to mobilize support for their nationalist cause. The argument of this thesis, however, is that the particular timing of the most recent surge of violence in Baluchistan is a result of a change in the relationship between the central government and Baluchistan brought about by the province's growing strategic significance. While the United States currently views the conflict in Baluchistan as an internal matter, growing violence and continued instability in a region where the presence of the Taliban and Al Qaeda is widespread makes this a crisis worthy of U.S. attention.
机译:自2005年1月以来,巴基斯坦的Bal路支斯坦省卷入了一系列暴力事件,有可能恶化为内战。这是最近的暴力事件,又是国家与周边国家紧张局势的又一次复发吗?还是这是威胁美国和巴基斯坦在该地区利益的质的新现象?本文分析了Bal路支政治暴力的历史根源,以确定determine路支斯坦为何再次陷入血腥冲突。历史上,Bal路支省的暴力行为是以下几个因素的产物:independent强的独立independent路支人民避免外界干预;英国政策的持久遗产;统治巴基斯坦政权的管理不善;以及历史上的不满使Bal路支领导人能够动员支持其民族主义事业。然而,本论文的论点是,Bal路支省最近暴力激增的特殊时机是由于该省的战略重要性不断提高导致中央政府与and路支省之间的关系发生变化的结果。尽管美国目前将Bal路支斯坦的冲突视为内部事务,但在塔利班和基地组织广泛存在的地区,暴力活动的加剧和持续的动荡使这一危机值得美国关注。

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    Dunne Justin S.;

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  • 年度 2006
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