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When kleptocracy becomes insolvent: brute causes of the civil war in South Sudan

机译:当盗窃统治破产时:南苏丹内战的残酷原因

摘要

South Sudan obtained independence in July 2011 as a kleptocracy – a militarized, corrupt neo-patrimonial system of governance. By the time of independence, the South Sudanese “political marketplace” was so expensive that the country's comparatively copious revenue was consumed by the military-political patronage system, with almost nothing left for public services, development or institution building. The efforts of national technocrats and foreign donors produced bubbles of institutional integrity but the system as a whole was entirely resistant to reform. The January 2012 shutdown of oil production bankrupted the system. Even an experienced and talented political business manager would have struggled, and President Salva Kiir did not display the required skills. No sooner had shots been fired than the compact holding the SPLA together fell apart and civil war ensued. Drawing upon long-term observation of elite politics in South Sudan, this article explains both the roots of kleptocratic government and its dire consequences.
机译:南苏丹于2011年7月以盗窃罪名获得独立,这是一种军事化,腐败的新世袭统治体系。到独立之时,南苏丹的“政治市场”是如此昂贵,以致该国相对丰富的收入被军事政治庇护系统所消耗,几乎没有剩余用于公共服务,发展或体制建设。国家技术官僚和外国捐助者的努力产生了机构诚信的泡沫,但整个系统完全抵制了改革。 2012年1月石油生产的关闭使该系统破产。即便是经验丰富且才华横溢的政治业务经理也可能会遇到困难,而总统萨尔瓦·基尔(Salva Kiir)没有表现出所需的技能。枪击案一发不可收拾,但将苏人解团结在一起的契约瓦解了,内战随之而来。借助对南苏丹精英政治的长期观察,本文既解释了秘密政府的根源及其可怕的后果。

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    de Waal Alex;

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  • 年度 2014
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