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A general framework to testing the effect of transport policy measures to achieve a modal shift: a sequental hybrid model

机译:测试运输政策措施实现模式转变效果的通用框架:顺序混合模型

摘要

In order to achieve to minimize car-based trips, transport planners have been particularly interested in understanding the factors that explain modal choices. In the transport modelling literature there has been an increasing awareness that socioeconomic attributes and quantitative variables are not sufficient to characterize travelers and forecast their travel behavior. Recent studies have also recognized that users? social interactions and land use patterns influence travel behavior, especially when changes to transport systems are introduced, but links between international and Spanish perspectives are rarely deal. In this paper, factorial and path analyses through a Multiple-Indicator Multiple-Cause (MIMIC) model are used to understand and describe the relationship between the different psychological and environmental constructs with social influence and socioeconomic variables. The MIMIC model generates Latent Variables (LVs) to be incorporated sequentially into Discrete Choice Models (DCM) where the levels of service and cost attributes of travel modes are also included directly to measure the effect of the transport policies that have been introduced in Madrid during the last three years in the context of the economic crisis. The data used for this paper are collected from a two panel smartphone-based survey (n=255 and 190 respondents, respectively) of Madrid.
机译:为了最大限度地减少基于汽车的出行,运输计划人员对理解解释模式选择的因素特别感兴趣。在运输模型文献中,人们越来越意识到社会经济属性和定量变量不足以表征旅行者并预测其旅行行为。最近的研究还认识到用户?社会互动和土地利用方式会影响出行行为,特别是在引入交通运输系统变更时,但国际和西班牙观点之间的联系很少涉及。在本文中,通过多指标多原因(MIMIC)模型进行的阶乘和路径分析用于理解和描述具有社会影响力和社会经济变量的不同心理和环境建构之间的关系。 MIMIC模型生成潜在变量(LVs),以将其依次合并到离散选择模型(DCM)中,该模型中还直接包含了出行方式的服务水平和成本属性,以衡量马德里期间引入的运输政策的效果在过去三年的经济危机中。本文所使用的数据来自马德里基于智能手机的两个面板的调查(分别为n = 255和190位受访者)。

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