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Mutual Fund Performances of Polish Domestic Equity Fund Managers

机译:波兰国内股票基金管理人的共同基金业绩

摘要

Purpose of the article: The main purpose of the paper is empirically evaluating selectivity skills and market timing ability of Polish fund managers during the period from January 2009 to November 2014. After the global financial crisis of 2008, in this period of quantitative easing (QE), thanks to an increase in the money supply, a capital flow from developed countries to developing countries was observed. In this study, we try to analyse that although the financial market in Poland made an incredible progress, whether fund managers show better or worse performance than the market. Methodology/Methods: In order to evaluate fund manager performances, Jensen alpha (1968) is computed, which depicts selectivity skills of fund managers. For determining market timing ability of fund managers, Treynor&Mazuy (1966) regression analysis and Henriksson&Merton (1981) regression analysis are applied. Fund performances are evaluated using Warsaw Stock Exchange Index as the benchmark index. Scientific aim: In this study, we have tried to evaluate selectivity skills and market timing ability of Polish fund managers. A total of 14 equity fund managers’ performances are analysed. The study can be guiding especially for investors who are interested in Polish equity fund performances in a period where emerging stock markets outperformed with quantitative easing. Findings: Jensen (1968) alphas indicate that over this period fund managers did not have selective ability, as none of the 14 funds had statistically significant positive alphas. Furthermore, Treynor&Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson&Merton (1981) regression analysis indicate that over the same period fund managers did not also have market timing ability, as again none of the 14 funds had statistically significant positive coefficients. Conclusion: In this work, we can detect that in the era of quantitative easing, although the financial market in Poland made an incredible progress, the fund returns were generally lower than the stock market and Polish fund managers could not display a good performance both in selectivity skills and market timing abilities.
机译:本文的目的:本文的主要目的是根据经验评估波兰基金经理在2009年1月至2014年11月期间的选择性技能和市场时机选择能力。在2008年全球金融危机之后,此量化宽松(QE) ),由于货币供应量的增加,观察到了从发达国家到发展中国家的资本流动。在本研究中,我们尝试分析,尽管波​​兰的金融市场取得了令人难以置信的进步,但基金经理的表现是否好于市场。方法论/方法:为了评估基金经理的业绩,计算了Jensen alpha(1968),该图描述了基金经理的选择性技能。为了确定基金经理的市场定时能力,使用了Treynor&Mazuy(1966)回归分析和Henriksson&Merton(1981)回归分析。基金表现以华沙证券交易所指数为基准指数进行评估。科学目的:在这项研究中,我们试图评估波兰基金经理的选择性技能和市场时机选择能力。总共分析了14位股票基金经理的表现。该研究尤其可为对波兰股票基金表现感兴趣的投资者提供指导,而在新兴股票市场表现优于量化宽松的时期。研究结果:詹森(1968)的alpha值表示在此期间,基金经理没有选择能力,因为14只基金中没有一个具有统计显着性的正alpha值。此外,Treynor&Mazuy(1966)和Henriksson&Merton(1981)的回归分析表明,在同一时期,基金经理也没有市场定时能力,因为14只基金中也没有一个具有统计显着性的正系数。结论:在这项工作中,我们可以发现,在量化宽松时代,尽管波兰的金融市场取得了令人难以置信的进步,但基金的回报率普遍低于股票市场,波兰的基金经理在这两个时期均未表现出良好的表现。选择性技巧和市场时机选择能力。

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