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A thirsty dragon: rising Chinese crude oil demand and prospects for multilateral energy security cooperation

机译:一条渴求的巨龙:中国原油需求上升以及多边能源安全合作的前景

摘要

"After Mao Zedongs death in 1976 and the turn to 'Socialism with Chinese characteristics', China opened up economically and, to a lesser extent, politically. That lead to China being the second largest car purchaser in 2011 and the second largest energy consumer the year before. In the last two decades, the country doubled its need for energy. But fossile energy carriers like crude oil are rare and China has to import the black gold from abroad. (The author) argues Chinas engagement in the global energy-sector does not necessarily lead to conflict, but offers chances for cooperation. He draws two scenarios: If everything goes wrong, the conflict for oil will exacerbate and lead to military conflict. China already strengthened its marine in the Indian Ocean, the US and India could do the same. The second scenario shows how cooperation could work: China, the West and India are consumers and thus could foster a common strategy as oil importers. In addition, their economies are highly interdependent and starting off a military conflict would mean damage to all of them. (The author) rather proposes strong cooperation and China's integration into international organizations such as OECDS's International Energy Agency." (author's abstract)
机译:“在1976年毛泽东去世以及转向“中国特色社会主义”之后,中国在经济上,在较小程度上从政治上开放。这导致中国成为2011年的第二大汽车购买国和第二大能源消费国。在过去的二十年中,中国对能源的需求增加了一倍,但像原油这样的化石能源载体却很少,中国必须从国外进口黑金。(作者)认为中国参与了全球能源行业他不一定会导致冲突,但会提供合作的机会,他提出了两种情况:如果万一出了问题,石油冲突将加剧并导致军事冲突;中国已经加强了在印度洋的海军,美国和印度可以第二种情况说明了合作是如何进行的:中国,西方和印度是消费者,因此可以与石油进口国建立共同的战略,此外,它们的经济高度发达。相互依赖并发动军事冲突将对所有人造成损害。 (作者)宁愿提出强有力的合作,并建议中国融入OECDS的国际能源署等国际组织。”(作者摘要)

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    Causevic Amar;

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