Inundation Risk Assessment of Underground Space Using Consequence-Probability Matrix

摘要

Increases in the frequency and severity of extreme rainfall might cause catastrophic submergence of underground spaces. Therefore, it is essential to predict the flood risk for proactive design. This study presents the methodology of acquiring risk level considering both flood intensity and evacuation difficulty. The flood momentum was computed by a 2D hydraulic flow model, and the flood intensity (FI) was employed to evaluate the consequence of flooding. To investigate the level of evacuation difficulty, the spatial layout of rooms, together with walking speed, were considered in the risk analysis process. If stormwater runoff enters an underground space, zones far away from the inlet usually have low risk levels. However, when the level of evacuation difficulty was considered, the risk level was dependent on the evacuation distance and location of the inlet and exit. If people are in zones with a risk level of 4 or 5, a rapid evacuation is necessary for preventing human casualties. The proposed methodology incorporated with the inundation model can be applied to any underground space regardless of the location of stairs, the number of exits, shape of rooms, or layout of the floor. Consequently, it will contribute to mitigating flood damage in an underground space.