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Political incentives and state subsidy allocation: Evidence from Hungarian municipalities

机译:政治激励与国家补贴分配:来自匈牙利市的证据

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摘要

Using application-level data on successful and rejected applications for the European Union's Structural and Cohesion Funds between 2004 and 2012 in Hungary, we study which grant types are susceptible to political manipulation and how politicians achieve this goal. Using township fixed-effect estimators to attenuate the simultaneity bias between municipality characteristics and political affiliation, we find that townships with a mayor endorsed by the governing parties obtain 10 percent higher grant value per capita. This effect varies widely by grant attributes: it is of 16-19 percent when the applicant is a public entity or the project's purpose is construction so it is visible to voters and thus may bring about electoral benefits. For private applications and non-construction grants, where electoral gains are likely to be limited, the estimated effect is zero. Decomposing the township alignment effect into grant application effects (application intensity and the average value of grant) and grant decision effects (grant success rate and proportion of grant value received) reveals that both margins play a role in the political manipulation of grant distribution. When analyzing the effect of grants on votes, we show that voters indeed reward construction and public projects.
机译:利用2004年至2012年在匈牙利获得的欧盟结构与凝聚力基金申请成功与否的申请级数据,我们研究了哪些赠款类型容易受到政治操纵,以及政治人物如何实现这一目标。使用乡镇固定效应估算器来减轻市镇特征与政治派别之间的同时偏差,我们发现拥有执政党认可的市长的乡镇的人均补助价值提高了10%。这种影响因赠款属性的不同而有很大差异:当申请人是公共实体或项目的目的是建筑时,选民可以看到16-19%的选票,因此选民可以看到,因此可以带来选举收益。对于可能限制选举收益的私人申请和非建筑补助金,估计影响为零。将乡镇协调效应分解为补助应用效果(应用强度和补助平均值)和补助决策效果(补助成功率和补助价值所占比例)显示,这两个边际都在补助分配的政治操纵中发挥作用。在分析赠款对选票的影响时,我们表明选民确实在奖励建筑和公共项目。

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