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A fire sale without fire: An explanation of labor-intensive FDI in China

机译:没有火的火灾销售:中国劳动密集型外国直接投资的解释

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摘要

Using a large firm-level panel dataset from the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics, we examine the effect of financial distortions on FDI inflows in China's labor-intensive industries. Following Whited and Wu (2006), we estimate the investment Euler equation and construct a financing constraint index for each firm. We find that among domestic firms, the financing constraint index is highest for private firms and lowest for state-owned firms. This finding is consistent with the political pecking order hypothesis that states that there is a severe lending bias in China's financial system against private firms in favor of state-owned enterprises. Then we estimate a probit model of joint-venture decisions by private firms. We show that firms with greater financing constraints are more likely to be acquired and controlled by foreign firms. We interpret this evidence to be consistent with the fire-sale hypothesis that states that private firms relinquish their equity and control to foreign investors in order to raise financing for growth. We find that those firms in the top 25 percent of the most financing constraints could have avoided losing 31.5 percent of the equity share to foreigners had they faced the same favorable financing constraints as a typical firm in Zhejiang Province.
机译:使用中国国家统计局的大型公司级面板数据集,我们研究了金融扭曲对中国劳动密集型行业FDI流入的影响。根据Whited和Wu(2006),我们估算了投资欧拉方程,并为每个企业构建了融资约束指数。我们发现,在国内企业中,融资约束指数对私营企业最高,对国有企业最低。这一发现与政治啄食顺序假说相符,该假说指出,中国金融体系对私人企业的偏重贷款偏向于国有企业。然后,我们估计了私营企业合资决策的概率模型。我们表明,融资约束更大的公司更有可能被外国公司收购和控制。我们认为这一证据与抛售假说是一致的,该假说指出,私人公司为了获得增长所需​​的融资而放弃了对外国投资者的股权和控制权。我们发现,如果融资面临与浙江省典型企业相同的有利融资条件,则在融资限制前25%的公司可以避免将31.5%的股权流失给外国人。

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