Modeling the AIDS (Acquired Immundeficiency Syndrome) Epidemic

摘要

The AIDS epidemic expands relentlessly. In October 1987, the President of the United States requested a national integrated scientific modeling effort to evaluate data already available and guide further data collection to reduce the uncertainties in estimates of prevalence and rates of spread of HIV. In July 1988, a workshop was jointly sponsored by the Office of Science and Technology Policy, Department of Health and Human Services, Department of Energy, and the National Science Foundation in response to this directive. The workshop recommended a variety of measures that add mathematical modeling to the arsenal of weapons that are being developed to defeat HIV, foster and promote collaboration between modelers and other scientists, and encourage individuals and institutions to share data. Perhaps the most important result of the workshop was a transformation in the way the nearly 100 participants look at the AIDS question: the participants left with a much broader, community-oriented perspective.