The Basics of Bayesian Reliability Estimation from Attribute Test Data

摘要

The basic notions of Bayesian reliability estimation from at¬tribute lifetest data are presented in an introductory and expository manner. This report will be useful to persons interested in becom¬ing familiar with the Bayesian approach to reliability estimation. Both Bayesian point and interval estimates of the probability of surviving the lifetest, the reliability, are discussed. The necessary formulas are simply stated, and examples are given to illustrate their use. In particular, a binomial model in conjunction with a beta prior model are considered. Particular attention is given to the procedure for selecting an appropriate prior model in practice. Empirical Bayes point and interval estimates of reliability are discuss¬ed and examples are given.