Global Environmental Effects of Impact-Generated Aerosols: Results from a General Circulation Model.

摘要

Interception of sunlight by the high altitude worldwide dust cloud generated by impact of a large asteroid or comet would lead to substantial land surface cooling, according to our three-dimensional atmospheric general circulation model (GCM). This result is qualitatively similar to conclusions drawn from an earlier study that employed a one-dimensional atmospheric model, but in the GCM simulation the heat capacity of the oceans, not included in the one-dimensional model, substantially mitigates land surface cooling. On the other hand, the low heat capacity of the GCM's land surface allows temperatures to drop more rapidly in the initial stages of cooling than in the one-dimensional model study. GCM-simulated climatic changes in the scenario of ''asteroid/comet winter'' are more severe than in ''nuclear winter'' because the assumed aerosol amount is large enough to intercept all sunlight falling on Earth. Impacts of smaller objects could also lead to dramatic, though of course less severe, climatic changes, according to our GCM. An asteroid or comet impact would not lead to anything approaching complete global freezing, but quite reasonable to assume that impacts would dramatically alter the climate in at least a ''patchy'' sense.