Modeling Precision Munitions: The Average Isn't Good Enough.

摘要

As the military employs more precision munitions to maximize effects and minimize collateral damage, each munition s strengths and weaknesses should be understood by the commander. These munitions are usually expensive and in short supply in relation to their less intelligent counterparts. Due to these constraints, engagement planning is limited to specific situations such as urban terrain and targets moving at time of engagement. To understand precision munition performance in these scenarios, combat modeling usually employs averages for the engagement. The average location of the round in the basket, average range from target when the seeker wakes up, and seeker field of view are usually combined into another average such as probability of hit. While these averages provide useful insights, critical limitations are obscured. This paper will use analysis done for the Precision Guided Mortar Munition to examine these types of modeling limitations.