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Construction of Theoretical Model for Antiterrorism: From Reflexive Game Theory Viewpoint

机译:反恐理论模型的构建:从反身博弈论的角度

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This work is devoted to the use of Reflexive Game Theory (RGT) for modeling the processes of decision making by terrorists. In the antiterrorist operations, an expert plays an extremely important role. With the help of RGT, experts can model terrorists interactions and predict their decisions. In the RGT framework, a group of terrorists is represented as a graph with two types of sides: one - expressing confrontation, and the other - expressing collaboration. By decomposition of this graph, an expert can find each terrorist s self-images and construct a choice function which leads to writing equation for each member of the group of terrorists. Every solution of this equation is interpreted as a terrorist s possible choice. The authors then provide four examples to demonstrate how an expert can use RGT to model antiterrorist operations.

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