Disturbed versus Undisturbed Conditions in the Caribbean during the Intensification of Hurricane Carmen (1974).

摘要

A comparative diagnostic analysis of measured and computed properties for disturbed and undisturbed conditions in the Caribbean during Hurricane Carmen's (1974) intensification from a tropical depression just west of Guadeloupe (0000 GMT 30 August) to a major hurricane at landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula (1200 GMT 2 September) is presented. Disturbed and undisturbed regions are determined from SMS-1 infrared imagery. This satellite imagery, along with rawinsonde and surface reports taken during the Global Atmospheric Research Program's (GARP) Atlantic Tropical Experiment (GATE), represent the primary data used in this study. Means representing eight consecutive synoptic times, 12 hours apart, beginning at 0000 GMT are presented for measured and computed quantities. Comparisons are made between conditions in disturbed and undisturbed regions, and disturbed regions are partitioned into Carmen and other disturbances. A comparison is also made between Carmen's values calculated in this study and those given by Vincent and Waterman (1978) for a moving volume containing Carmen.