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On the determination of breakthrough time for water coning phenomenon in oil reservoirs

机译:关于油藏水锥现象突破时间的确定

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The water coning phenomenon leads to decrease the wellhead pressure with moving of water into oil production zone, which is regarded as one of most serious problems during oil production. Therefore, the development of reliable models is important to predict the water coning breakthrough time, and consequently avoid the water coning phenomenon and production of water. To this end, the artificial neural network modeling strategy optimized with particle swarm optimization, least square support vector machine (LSSVM) approach coupled with the coupled simulated annealing optimization method, and finally decision tree method are implemented in current study to accurately predict the dimensionless breakthrough time of water coning. The results obtained in the present study demonstrate that the models proposed provide acceptable results in predicting the dimensionless breakthrough time of water coning. Furthermore, comparative study conducted illustrates the superiority of LSSVM methodology in terms of accuracy compared to the other methods investigated.
机译:水锥化现象导致井口压力随水向采油区的运移而降低,这被认为是采油过程中最严重的问题之一。因此,建立可靠的模型对于预测水锥突破时间,从而避免水锥现象和产水具有重要意义。为此,在本研究中采用了粒子群优化,最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)方法,耦合模拟退火优化方法以及最终的决策树方法来优化人工神经网络建模策略,以准确预测无量纲突破水锥的时间。在本研究中获得的结果表明,所提出的模型在预测水锥度的无因次穿透时间方面提供了可接受的结果。此外,进行的比较研究表明,与其他研究方法相比,LSSVM方法在准确性方面具有优势。

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