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Evaluation of occupational injuries with lost days among opencast coal mine workers through logistic regression models

机译:通过逻辑回归模型评估露天煤矿工人的工伤天数

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摘要

Despite precautions, mining remains the most hazardous occupation, and coal mining is one of the most dangerous industries for non-fatal occupational accidents. Accidents are complicated events with many factors that affect their formation, and statistical evaluation of accident records can produce valuable information that may prevent such accidents. In this study, a logistic regression analysis method was applied to non-fatal occupational injuries from 1996 to 2009 in an opencast coal mine for Western Lignite Corporation (WLC) of Turkish Coal Enterprises (TKI). The accident records were categorized as occupation, area, reason, age, part of body and lost days, and the SPSS package program was used for statistical analyses. Logistic regression analyses were used to predict the probability of accidents that resulted in greater or less than 3 lost workdays. It is found that the job group with the highest probability of exposure to accidents with greater than 3 lost workdays for non-fatal injuries was the maintenance personnel and workers. The employees were primarily exposed to accidents caused by a mining machine, and the lower and upper extremities have the highest probability of exposure to such risks. Finally, an equation for calculating the probability of exposure to accidents with greater or less than 3 lost workdays was derived. Then, the equation was used to determine the important accident risk factors.
机译:尽管采取了预防措施,采矿仍然是最危险的职业,而煤炭开采是非致命性职业事故中最危险的行业之一。事故是具有许多影响事故形成的因素的复杂事件,对事故记录的统计评估可以产生可预防此类事故的有价值的信息。在这项研究中,将Logistic回归分析方法应用于1996年至2009年土耳其煤炭企业(TKI)的Western Lignite Corporation(WLC)的露天煤矿中的非致命性职业伤害。事故记录被分类为职业,区域,原因,年龄,身体部位和丢失天数,并使用SPSS软件包程序进行统计分析。 Logistic回归分析用于预测导致多于或少于3个工作日损失的事故概率。结果发现,因非致命伤害而遭受最多3个工作日以上损失的事故的可能性最高的工作组是维护人员和工人。员工最容易遭受采矿机造成的事故的伤害,而上下肢承受此类风险的可能性最高。最后,导出了一个公式,用于计算遭受或损失少于3个工作日的事故的可能性。然后,使用该方程式确定重要的事故风险因素。

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