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Inaccuracy in Pipeline-Compressor-Station Construction-Cost Estimation

机译:管道-压缩机站建设成本估算中的不准确性

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摘要

The intent of this paper is to investigate installed cost overruns of pipeline-compressor-station projects. A total of 220 pipeline-compressor-station projects constructed between 1992 and 2008 have been collected, including material, labor, and miscellaneous, land, and total installed costs; and compressor-station capacity; location; and year of completion. Statistical methods are applied to identify the distribution of cost overruns and overrun causes. Overall average overruns of pipeline-compressor-station material, labor, miscellaneous, land, and total costs are 3, 60, 2, —14, and 11%, respectively. Cost estimations of compressor-station-construction components are biased except for the material cost. In addition, the cost-estimation errors of underestimated compressor-station-construction components are generally larger than those of overestimated components. Results of the analysis show that compressor-station project size, capacity, location, and year of completion have different impacts on individual construction component cost overruns.
机译:本文的目的是调查管道压缩机站项目的安装成本超支。在1992年至2008年期间,总共收集了220个管道压缩机站项目,包括材料,人工,杂项,土地和总安装成本;和压缩机站容量;位置;和完成年份。应用统计方法来识别成本超支和超支原因的分布。管道压缩机站材料,人工,杂项,土地和总成本的总体平均超支分别为3%,60%,2%,-14%和11%。除材料成本外,压缩机站建设部件的成本估算存在偏差。另外,被低估的压缩机站构造部件的成本估计误差通常大于被高估的组件的成本估计误差。分析结果表明,压缩机站项目的规模,容量,位置和竣工年份对单个建筑部件成本超支有不同的影响。

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