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Impact of hydrographic data assimilation on the modelled Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

机译:水文数据同化对模拟大西洋子午翻转环流的影响

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Here we make an initial step toward the development of an ocean assimilation system that can constrain the modelled Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to support climate predictions. A detailed comparison is presented of 1 and 1/4 resolution global model simulations with and without sequential data assimilation, to the observations and transport estimates from the RAPID mooring array across 26.5 N in the Atlantic. Comparisons of modelled water properties with the observations from the merged RAPID boundary arrays demonstrate the ability of in situ data assimilation to accurately constrain the east-west density gradient between these mooring arrays. However, the presence of an unconstrained “western boundary wedge” between Abaco Island and the RAPID mooring site WB2 (16 km offshore) leads to the intensification of an erroneous southwards flow in this region when in situ data are assimilated. The result is an overly intense southward upper midocean transport (0–1100 m) as compared to the estimates derived from the RAPID array.Correction of upper layer zonal density gradients is found to compensate mostly for a weak subtropical gyre circulation in the free model run (i.e. with no assimilation). Despite the important changes to the density structure and transports in the upper layer imposed by the assimilation, very little change is found in the amplitude and sub-seasonal variability of the AMOC. This shows that assimilation of upper layer density information projects mainly on the gyre circulation with little effect on the AMOC at 26 N due to the absence of corrections to density gradients below 2000m (the maximum depth of Argo).
机译:在这里,我们朝着海洋同化系统的发展迈出了第一步,该系统可以约束模拟的大西洋子午翻转环流(AMOC)以支持气候预测。详细介绍了有和没有顺序数据同化的1分辨率和1/4分辨率全球模型模拟与大西洋上26.5 N的RAPID系泊阵列的观测和运输估算。将模拟的水属性与合并的RAPID边界阵列的观测结果进行比较,表明原位数据同化能够准确地约束这些系泊阵列之间的东西向密度梯度。但是,在将原位数据同化后,阿巴科岛与RAPID系泊地点WB2(离岸16公里)之间存在不受约束的“西部边界楔形”,导致该区域向南的误流加剧。与从RAPID阵列获得的估计值相比,结果是南海中上洋向南迁移过大(0–1100 m)。在自由模型运行中,发现上层纬向密度梯度的校正主要补偿了弱的亚热带回旋环流。 (即没有同化)。尽管同化对上层的密度结构和输运发生了重要变化,但AMOC的振幅和亚季节变化却几乎没有变化。这表明,由于没有校正低于2000m(最大Argo深度)的密度梯度,上层密度信息的同化作用主要集中在回旋环上,而对26N时的AMOC影响很小。

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