Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and respiratory disease mortality in Shenyang, China: A 12-year population-based retrospective cohort study

摘要

Background: In China, both the levels and patterns of outdoor air pollution have altered dramatically with the rapid economic development and urbanization over the past two decades. However, few studies have investigated the association of outdoor air pollution with respiratory mortality, especially in the high pollution range. Objective: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 9,941 residents aged ≥35 years old in Shenyang, China, to examine the association between outdoor air pollutants [particulate matter 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM 10), sulfur dioxide (SO 2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2)] and mortality using 12 years of data. Methods: We applied extended Cox proportional hazards modeling with time-dependent covariates to respiratory mortality. Analyses were also stratified by age, sex, educational level, smoking status, personal income, occupational exposure and body mass index (BMI) to examine the association of air pollution with mortality. Results: We found significant associations between PM 10 and NO 2 levels and respiratory disease mortality. Our analysis found a relative risk of 1.67 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60-1.74] and 2.97 (95% CI 2.69-3.27) for respiratory mortality per 10 μg/m 3 increase in PM 10 and NO 2, respectively. The effects of air pollution were more apparent in women than in men. Age, sex, educational level, smoking status, personal income, occupational exposure, BMI and exercise frequency influenced the relationship between outdoor PM 10 and NO 2 and mortality. For SO 2, only smoking, little regular exercise and BMI above 18.5 influenced the relationship with mortality. Conclusion: These data contribute to the scientific literature on the long-term effects of air pollution for the high-exposure settings typical in developing countries.